Week 2 Player Props: Rushing Yards for D'Andre Swift from EV Insight

D’Andre SwiftRushing Yards

Right now, D’Andre Swift’s rushing yards prop is set at 35.5 yards (-118/-104).

The public has bet the OVER up to 35.5 (-118) after it opened @ 33.5 (-113).

Pros

The Eagles are a big 7-point favorite in this game, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the most plays run among all games this week at 135.0 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Philadelphia Eagles have run the 9th-most plays in football since the start of last season, totaling a monstrous 59.5 plays per game.
The Philadelphia Eagles O-line ranks as the 4th-best in the NFL since the start of last season at blocking for the run game.
D’Andre Swift’s rushing efficiency (5.40 yards per carry) has been some of the best in football since the start of last season (92nd percentile among running backs).

Cons

The Philadelphia Eagles will have a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Brian Johnson, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 1.0% more towards passing than it did last year (context-neutralized).
The Eagles have been the 6th-least run-heavy offense in the league (in a neutral context) since the start of last season with a 31.2% run rate.
The Minnesota Vikings defensive tackles grade out as the 6th-best unit in football since the start of last season in regard to stopping the run.

Projection

THE BLITZ
39
Rushing Yards