Week 2 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Robert Woods from EV Insight

Robert WoodsReceiving Yards

Right now, Robert Woods’s receiving yards prop is set at 38.5 yards (-110/-110).

The public has bet up the UNDER down to 38.5 (-110) after it opened @ 45.5 (-110).

Pros

The Titans are a heavy 10-point underdog in this week’s contest, which points towards an extreme passing game script.
The Tennessee Titans have called the 5th-most plays in football since the start of last season, averaging a monstrous 65.3 plays per game.
Robert Woods has run a route on 91.0% of his team’s passing plays since the start of last season, ranking in the 94th percentile among WRs.
THE BLITZ projects Robert Woods to earn 6.7 targets this week, on average, ranking him in the 78th percentile among wideouts.
Robert Woods has been among the top wide receivers in the game since the start of last season, averaging a stellar 62.0 yards per game while ranking in the 91st percentile.

Cons

THE BLITZ projects the Tennessee Titans as the 2nd-least pass-centric team in football (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 56.9% pass rate.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-smallest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 126.4 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The weather forecast calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and worse passing efficiency.
Opposing QBs have averaged 32.4 pass attempts per game versus the Buffalo Bills defense since the start of last season: 8th-least in the NFL.
The Tennessee Titans offensive line grades out as the 7th-worst in football since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a negative impact on all pass game statistics across the board.

Projection

THE BLITZ
47
Receiving Yards