NHL Best Bets for Tuesday (11/19)
Kenneth Le
Ian ThomasReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 2
Giants vs. Panthers
Right now, Ian Thomas’s receiving yards prop is set at 13.5 yards (+108/-148).
The public has bet up the UNDER down to 13.5 (-148) after it opened @ 14.5 (-130).
Pros
- The Carolina Panthers will have a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Ben McAdoo, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 1.8% more towards passing than it did last year (adjusted for context).
- THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-most plays run among all games this week at 131.4 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- The Carolina Panthers have called the 10th-most plays in football since the start of last season, averaging a whopping 63.6 plays per game.
- Opposing offenses have averaged 35.9 pass attempts per game vs. the New York Giants defense since the start of last season: 9th-most in football.
- The New York Giants linebackers rank as the 5th-worst group of LBs in football since the start of last season in covering receivers.
Cons
- THE BLITZ projects the Carolina Panthers to be the 11th-least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 57.8% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- The Carolina Panthers offensive line profiles as the worst in the league since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative effect on all pass game statistics across the board.
- Ian Thomas has been among the worst pass-game tight ends since the start of last season, averaging a lowly 14.0 yards per game while grading out in the 24th percentile among TEs.
- The New York Giants pass defense has displayed strong efficiency vs. TEs since the start of last season, surrendering 6.70 yards-per-target to the position: the 6th-least in the NFL.
- The New York Giants pass defense has excelled when opposing tight ends have gotten into space, surrendering an average of 3.67 yards-after-the-catch since the start of last season: the least in the league.
Projection
THE BLITZ
19
Receiving Yards
19
Receiving Yards
