Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
DeAndre HopkinsReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 2
Titans vs. Chargers
Right now, DeAndre Hopkins’s receiving yards prop is set at 66.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the OVER up to 66.5 (-110) after it opened @ 65.5 (-110).
Pros
- The Tennessee Titans boast a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Tim Kelly, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to skew 5.4% more towards passing than it did last season (adjusted for context).
- THE BLITZ projects DeAndre Hopkins to total 7.8 targets in this week’s game, on average, ranking in the 90th percentile among wideouts.
- DeAndre Hopkins has accrued a colossal 113.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 98th percentile among WRs.
- DeAndre Hopkins has been among the leading WRs in the league since the start of last season, averaging an impressive 80.0 yards per game while grading out in the 96th percentile.
- The Los Angeles Chargers linebackers project as the worst unit in the league since the start of last season in covering receivers.
Cons
- THE BLITZ projects the Tennessee Titans as the 7th-least pass-oriented team in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 59.0% pass rate.
- THE BLITZ projects the Tennessee Titans offense as the 8th-worst paced team in football (in a neutral context) at the present time, averaging 29.10 seconds per play.
- Opposing offenses have averaged 31.9 pass attempts per game versus the Los Angeles Chargers defense since the start of last season: 9th-least in football.
- THE BLITZ projects DeAndre Hopkins to be much less involved in his offense’s air attack this week (24.0% projected Target Share) than he has been since the start of last season (30.0% in games he has played).
- The Tennessee Titans O-line ranks as the worst in football since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a harmful impact on all passing offense stats across the board.
Projection
THE BLITZ
62
Receiving Yards
62
Receiving Yards
