Week 2 Player Props: Passing Yards for Ryan Tannehill from EV Insight

Ryan TannehillPassing Yards

Right now, Ryan Tannehill’s passing yards prop is set at 224.5 yards (+110/-143).

The public has bet the OVER up to 224.5 (+110) after it opened @ 217.5 (-114).

Pros

The Tennessee Titans boast a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Tim Kelly, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to skew 5.4% more towards passing than it did last season (adjusted for context).
Ryan Tannehill has been among the most effective passers in football since the start of last season, averaging a terrific 7.56 yards-per-target while grading out in the 87th percentile.
The Los Angeles Chargers linebackers project as the worst unit in the league since the start of last season in covering receivers.

Cons

THE BLITZ projects the Tennessee Titans as the 7th-least pass-oriented team in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 59.0% pass rate.
THE BLITZ projects the Tennessee Titans offense as the 8th-worst paced team in football (in a neutral context) at the present time, averaging 29.10 seconds per play.
Opposing offenses have averaged 31.9 pass attempts per game versus the Los Angeles Chargers defense since the start of last season: 9th-least in football.
The Tennessee Titans O-line ranks as the worst in football since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a harmful impact on all passing offense stats across the board.
Opposing QBs have passed for the 9th-least yards in football (just 208.0 per game) vs. the Los Angeles Chargers defense since the start of last season.

Projection

THE BLITZ
261
Passing Yards