The Baltimore Ravens will have a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Todd Monken, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 4.4% more towards passing than it did last season (in a neutral context).
The Ravens are a 3.5-point underdog in this game, indicating a passing game script.
The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
THE BLITZ projects Zay Flowers to earn 7.4 targets in this week’s contest, on average, ranking him in the 87th percentile among WRs.
Zay Flowers has been among the best possession receivers in the NFL, completing a stellar 92.2% of passes thrown his way this year, checking in at the 92nd percentile among wideouts.
Cons
The Ravens have been the 7th-least pass-heavy team in football (context-neutralized) since the start of last season with a 55.1% pass rate.
THE BLITZ projects the Baltimore Ravens offense as the 6th-slowest paced team in the league (context-neutralized) at the present time, averaging 29.22 seconds per play.
THE BLITZ projects Zay Flowers to be a less important option in his team’s passing offense this week (23.0% projected Target Share) than he has been since the start of last season (50.0% in games he has played).
The Cincinnati Bengals pass defense has conceded the 9th-lowest Completion% in the NFL (63.8%) to wideouts since the start of last season (63.8%).