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Week 2 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Zay Flowers from EV Insight

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Zay Flowers

Zay FlowersReceiving Yards

Player Props – Week 2

Bengals vs. Ravens

Right now, Zay Flowers’s receiving yards prop is set at 42.5 yards (-110/-110).

Pros

  • The Baltimore Ravens will have a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Todd Monken, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 4.4% more towards passing than it did last season (in a neutral context).
  • The Ravens are a 3.5-point underdog in this game, indicating a passing game script.
  • The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • THE BLITZ projects Zay Flowers to earn 7.4 targets in this week’s contest, on average, ranking him in the 87th percentile among WRs.
  • Zay Flowers has been among the best possession receivers in the NFL, completing a stellar 92.2% of passes thrown his way this year, checking in at the 92nd percentile among wideouts.
Cons

  • The Ravens have been the 7th-least pass-heavy team in football (context-neutralized) since the start of last season with a 55.1% pass rate.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Baltimore Ravens offense as the 6th-slowest paced team in the league (context-neutralized) at the present time, averaging 29.22 seconds per play.
  • THE BLITZ projects Zay Flowers to be a less important option in his team’s passing offense this week (23.0% projected Target Share) than he has been since the start of last season (50.0% in games he has played).
  • The Cincinnati Bengals pass defense has conceded the 9th-lowest Completion% in the NFL (63.8%) to wideouts since the start of last season (63.8%).

Projection
THE BLITZ
66
Receiving Yards

Previous Week 2 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Mark Andrews from EV Insight Next Week 2 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Jake Ferguson from EV Insight