Week 18 Player Props: Rushing Yards for Tony Pollard from EV Insight

Tony PollardRushing Yards

Right now, Tony Pollard’s rushing yards prop is set at 42.5 yards (-110/-110).

The public has bet the OVER up to 42.5 (-110) after it opened @ 41.5 (-110).

Pros

The Cowboys are a 5.5-point favorite in this game, indicating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Dallas Cowboys as the 6th-most run-centric team on the slate this week with a 47.1% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Cowboys to call the 4th-most total plays among all teams this week with 68.0 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Dallas Cowboys have run the 9th-most plays in football this year, averaging a monstrous 59.7 plays per game.
Tony Pollard has rushed for significantly more yards per game (61.0) this year than he did last year (43.0).

Cons

The Washington Commanders defensive ends project as the 8th-best DE corps in football this year when it comes to defending the run.

Projection

THE BLITZ
53
Rushing Yards