Prime-Time First TD Bets — Monday Night Football, Week 16
Alex Christenson
Tony PollardRushing Yards
Player Props – Week 18
Commanders vs. Cowboys
Right now, Tony Pollard’s rushing yards prop is set at 42.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the OVER up to 42.5 (-110) after it opened @ 41.5 (-110).
Pros
- The Cowboys are a 5.5-point favorite in this game, indicating a rushing game script.
- THE BLITZ projects the Dallas Cowboys as the 6th-most run-centric team on the slate this week with a 47.1% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- THE BLITZ projects the Cowboys to call the 4th-most total plays among all teams this week with 68.0 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
- The Dallas Cowboys have run the 9th-most plays in football this year, averaging a monstrous 59.7 plays per game.
- Tony Pollard has rushed for significantly more yards per game (61.0) this year than he did last year (43.0).
Cons
- The Washington Commanders defensive ends project as the 8th-best DE corps in football this year when it comes to defending the run.
Projection
THE BLITZ
53
Rushing Yards
53
Rushing Yards
