NHL Best Bets for Tuesday (11/19)
Kenneth Le
Kenneth Walker IIIRushing Yards
Player Props – Week 18
Cardinals vs. Seahawks
Right now, Kenneth Walker III’s rushing yards prop is set at 60.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the OVER up to 60.5 (-110) after it opened @ 55.5 (-110).
Pros
- The Seahawks are a 3-point favorite in this week’s contest, likely creating a running game script.
- In this week’s game, Kenneth Walker is expected by the predictive model to place in the 84th percentile when it comes to RBs with 16.5 carries.
- Kenneth Walker has been given 66.6% of his offense’s run game usage this year, putting him in the 97th percentile when it comes to RBs.
- This year, the anemic Cardinals run defense has given up a monstrous 149.0 adjusted rushing yards per game to opposing teams: the most in football.
- The Cardinals defensive tackles grade out as the worst DT corps in the league this year when it comes to stopping the run.
Cons
- The predictive model expects the Seahawks as the 6th-least run-heavy team on the slate this week with a 38.2% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- Our trusted projections expect the Seahawks to call the fewest total plays on the slate this week with 62.1 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.
- The Seahawks have called the 4th-fewest plays in football this year, averaging just 54.9 plays per game.
- The passing games of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm “weather” conditions (i.e. zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may slide.
- Kenneth Walker’s 56.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this season represents a significant decline in his running ability over last season’s 70.0 mark.
Projection
THE BLITZ
79
Rushing Yards
79
Rushing Yards
