Week 18 Player Props: Rushing Yards for Kenneth Walker III

Kenneth Walker IIIRushing Yards

Right now, Kenneth Walker III’s rushing yards prop is set at 60.5 yards (-110/-110).

The public has bet the OVER up to 60.5 (-110) after it opened @ 55.5 (-110).

Pros

The Seahawks are a 3-point favorite in this week’s contest, likely creating a running game script.
In this week’s game, Kenneth Walker is expected by the predictive model to place in the 84th percentile when it comes to RBs with 16.5 carries.
Kenneth Walker has been given 66.6% of his offense’s run game usage this year, putting him in the 97th percentile when it comes to RBs.
This year, the anemic Cardinals run defense has given up a monstrous 149.0 adjusted rushing yards per game to opposing teams: the most in football.
The Cardinals defensive tackles grade out as the worst DT corps in the league this year when it comes to stopping the run.

Cons

The predictive model expects the Seahawks as the 6th-least run-heavy team on the slate this week with a 38.2% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Our trusted projections expect the Seahawks to call the fewest total plays on the slate this week with 62.1 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.
The Seahawks have called the 4th-fewest plays in football this year, averaging just 54.9 plays per game.
The passing games of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm “weather” conditions (i.e. zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may slide.
Kenneth Walker’s 56.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this season represents a significant decline in his running ability over last season’s 70.0 mark.

Projection

THE BLITZ
79
Rushing Yards