NHL Best Bets for Tuesday (11/19)
Kenneth Le
Chuba HubbardRushing Yards
Player Props – Week 18
Panthers vs. Buccaneers
Right now, Chuba Hubbard’s rushing yards prop is set at 55.5 yards (-125/-105).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 55.5 (-105) after it opened @ 60.5 (-115).
Pros
- Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Carolina Panthers to run on 45.5% of their downs: the 8th-greatest rate on the slate this week.
- The 2nd-highest number of plays in the league have been called by the Carolina Panthers this year (a staggering 62.1 per game on average).
- Windy weather conditions (like the 14-mph being forecasted in this game) usually lead to worse passing efficiency, reduced pass volume, and increased ground volume.
- The predictive model expects Chuba Hubbard to total 18.8 rush attempts in this contest, on average, putting him in the 93rd percentile among RBs.
- The projections expect Chuba Hubbard to be much more involved in his team’s ground game in this game (65.0% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (52.0% in games he has played).
Cons
- A passing game script is implied by the Panthers being a -4.5-point underdog this week.
- The projections expect this game to have the 5th-fewest plays run out of all the games this week at 127.2 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- Chuba Hubbard’s ground effectiveness has declined this year, averaging a measly 3.84 adjusted yards-per-carry vs a 4.73 rate last year.
- This year, the formidable Buccaneers run defense has yielded a paltry 97.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground to the opposing side: the 6th-fewest in the NFL.
Projection
THE BLITZ
82
Rushing Yards
82
Rushing Yards
