Week 18 Player Props: Rushing Yards for Chuba Hubbard from EV Insight

Chuba HubbardRushing Yards

Right now, Chuba Hubbard’s rushing yards prop is set at 55.5 yards (-125/-105).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 55.5 (-105) after it opened @ 60.5 (-115).

Pros

Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Carolina Panthers to run on 45.5% of their downs: the 8th-greatest rate on the slate this week.
The 2nd-highest number of plays in the league have been called by the Carolina Panthers this year (a staggering 62.1 per game on average).
Windy weather conditions (like the 14-mph being forecasted in this game) usually lead to worse passing efficiency, reduced pass volume, and increased ground volume.
The predictive model expects Chuba Hubbard to total 18.8 rush attempts in this contest, on average, putting him in the 93rd percentile among RBs.
The projections expect Chuba Hubbard to be much more involved in his team’s ground game in this game (65.0% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (52.0% in games he has played).

Cons

A passing game script is implied by the Panthers being a -4.5-point underdog this week.
The projections expect this game to have the 5th-fewest plays run out of all the games this week at 127.2 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Chuba Hubbard’s ground effectiveness has declined this year, averaging a measly 3.84 adjusted yards-per-carry vs a 4.73 rate last year.
This year, the formidable Buccaneers run defense has yielded a paltry 97.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground to the opposing side: the 6th-fewest in the NFL.

Projection

THE BLITZ
82
Rushing Yards