NHL Best Bets for Tuesday (11/19)
Kenneth Le
Tucker KraftReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 18
Packers vs. Bears
Right now, Tucker Kraft’s receiving yards prop is set at 28.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the OVER up to 28.5 (-110) after it opened @ 27.5 (-110).
Pros
- Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Packers to pass on 58.9% of their downs: the 9th-greatest rate among all teams this week.
- Opposing teams have averaged 39.3 pass attempts per game vs. the Chicago Bears defense this year: 3rd-most in the league.
- Tucker Kraft checks in as one of the best pass-catching tight ends this year, averaging an excellent 37.0 adjusted yards per game while checking in at the 83rd percentile.
- With an outstanding 9.2 adjusted yards per target (92nd percentile) this year, Tucker Kraft rates as one of the top pass-catching TEs in the league.
- Tucker Kraft checks in as one of the best TEs in the NFL at picking up extra yardage, averaging an exceptional 7.61 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while checking in at the 100th percentile.
Cons
- With a 3-point advantage, the Packers are favored in this week’s contest, suggesting more of a focus on rushing than their typical game plan.
- Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is forecasted by the predictive model to see only 126.5 plays on offense called: the 2nd-fewest on the slate this week.
- The Packers have called the 10th-fewest plays in the league this year, averaging just 56.9 plays per game.
- This year, the daunting Bears defense has yielded the least adjusted yards-per-target in football to opposing tight ends: a paltry 6.1 yards.
- The Bears pass defense has performed very well when opposing tight ends have gotten into space, surrendering an average of 3.19 yards-after-the-catch this year: the fewest in the NFL.
Projection
THE BLITZ
24
Receiving Yards
24
Receiving Yards
