Week 18 Player Props: Receiving Yards for D.J. Moore from EV Insight

D.J. MooreReceiving Yards

Right now, D.J. Moore’s receiving yards prop is set at 69.5 yards (-129/-106).

The public has bet the OVER up to 69.5 (-129) after it opened @ 65.5 (-115).

Pros

A throwing game script is implied by the Bears being a -3-point underdog in this week’s game.
The Chicago Bears have called the 5th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a monstrous 60.5 plays per game.
The projections expect D.J. Moore to earn 9.3 targets in this contest, on average, placing him in the 93rd percentile when it comes to wide receivers.
D.J. Moore has compiled significantly more air yards this season (100.0 per game) than he did last season (90.0 per game).
D.J. Moore’s 78.0 adjusted receiving yards per game this year illustrates a material gain in his pass-catching prowess over last year’s 49.0 figure.

Cons

Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Chicago Bears to pass on 52.1% of their chances: the 3rd-lowest frequency among all teams this week.
Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Bears are anticipated by our trusted projection set to run only 63.4 total plays in this game: the 7th-lowest number among all teams this week.
Opposing QBs teams have been hesitant to test the pass defense of the Green Bay Packers, averaging the 8th-fewest attempts in the NFL (just 33.8 per game) this year.
In regards to protecting the passer (and the impact it has on all passing attack stats), the O-line of the Chicago Bears ranks as the 10th-worst in the NFL this year.
When it comes to defensive ends pass-rushing, Green Bay’s DE corps has been outstanding this year, profiling as the 3rd-best in the NFL.

Projection

THE BLITZ
78
Receiving Yards