NHL Best Bets for Tuesday (11/19)
Kenneth Le
D.J. MooreReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 18
Packers vs. Bears
Right now, D.J. Moore’s receiving yards prop is set at 69.5 yards (-129/-106).
The public has bet the OVER up to 69.5 (-129) after it opened @ 65.5 (-115).
Pros
- A throwing game script is implied by the Bears being a -3-point underdog in this week’s game.
- The Chicago Bears have called the 5th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a monstrous 60.5 plays per game.
- The projections expect D.J. Moore to earn 9.3 targets in this contest, on average, placing him in the 93rd percentile when it comes to wide receivers.
- D.J. Moore has compiled significantly more air yards this season (100.0 per game) than he did last season (90.0 per game).
- D.J. Moore’s 78.0 adjusted receiving yards per game this year illustrates a material gain in his pass-catching prowess over last year’s 49.0 figure.
Cons
- Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Chicago Bears to pass on 52.1% of their chances: the 3rd-lowest frequency among all teams this week.
- Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Bears are anticipated by our trusted projection set to run only 63.4 total plays in this game: the 7th-lowest number among all teams this week.
- Opposing QBs teams have been hesitant to test the pass defense of the Green Bay Packers, averaging the 8th-fewest attempts in the NFL (just 33.8 per game) this year.
- In regards to protecting the passer (and the impact it has on all passing attack stats), the O-line of the Chicago Bears ranks as the 10th-worst in the NFL this year.
- When it comes to defensive ends pass-rushing, Green Bay’s DE corps has been outstanding this year, profiling as the 3rd-best in the NFL.
Projection
THE BLITZ
78
Receiving Yards
78
Receiving Yards
