NHL Best Bets for Tuesday (11/19)
Kenneth Le
Jake BrowningPassing Yards
Player Props – Week 18
Bengals vs. Browns
Right now, Jake Browning’s passing yards prop is set at 228.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 228.5 (-110) after it opened @ 232.5 (-110).
Pros
- The Bengals may take to the air less this week (and call more rushes) since they be rolling with backup QB Jake Browning.
- At the moment, the 2nd-most pass-centric offense in the NFL (66.8% in a neutral context) according to the predictive model is the Cincinnati Bengals.
- Given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Bengals are projected by our trusted projection set to run 65.7 offensive plays in this contest: the 10th-most on the slate this week.
- With an impressive 71.6% Adjusted Completion% (92nd percentile) this year, Jake Browning places among the most accurate passers in the NFL.
- Jake Browning is positioned as one of the most effective quarterbacks in the NFL this year, averaging a stellar 8.04 adjusted yards-per-target while grading out in the 89th percentile.
Cons
- A running game script is indicated by the Bengals being a 5.5-point favorite in this week’s contest.
- The weather report calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.
- Opposing offenses have averaged 33.1 pass attempts per game against the Cleveland Browns defense this year: 6th-fewest in football.
- This year, the tough Cleveland Browns defense has surrendered a meager 62.7% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing quarterbacks: the lowest rate in the NFL.
- This year, the formidable Cleveland Browns defense has surrendered the least yards-after-the-catch in football to the opposing side: a meager 3.9 YAC.
Projection
THE BLITZ
198
Passing Yards
198
Passing Yards
