Week 17 Player Props: Rushing Yards for Saquon Barkley from EV Insight

Saquon BarkleyRushing Yards

Right now, Saquon Barkley’s rushing yards prop is set at 69.5 yards (+104/-134).

The public has bet the OVER up to 69.5 (+104) after it opened @ 65.5 (-113).

Pros

Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Giants to run on 45.2% of their plays: the 9th-highest clip among all teams this week.
Given the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is forecasted by the projections to have 132.4 plays on offense run: the 2nd-highest number on the slate this week.
The leading projections forecast Saquon Barkley to total 20.3 rush attempts in this game, on average, putting him in the 97th percentile when it comes to RBs.
Out of all running backs, Saquon Barkley ranks in the 97th percentile for carries this year, taking on 67.2% of the workload in his team’s running game.
Saquon Barkley has averaged 71.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this year, one of the largest marks in the league when it comes to RBs (97th percentile).

Cons

The Giants will be forced to use backup QB Tyrod Taylor in this week’s contest, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
At a -6.5-point disadvantage, the Giants are underdogs this week, suggesting more of a focus on throwing than their usual approach.
The New York Giants offensive line grades out as the 7th-worst in football last year at blocking for the run game.
The Los Angeles Rams defensive tackles project as the 4th-best group of DTs in the league this year when it comes to stopping the run.

Projection

THE BLITZ
84
Rushing Yards