Week 17 Player Props: Rushing Yards for Jaylen Warren from EV Insight

Jaylen WarrenRushing Yards

Right now, Jaylen Warren’s rushing yards prop is set at 34.5 yards (-115/-113).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 34.5 (-113) after it opened @ 36.5 (-113).

Pros

Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Steelers to run on 44.7% of their chances: the 10th-highest clip on the slate this week.
Jaylen Warren has been a more integral piece of his offense’s rushing attack this year (32.2% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (16.3%).
The Pittsburgh Steelers offensive line grades out as the 10th-best in the league last year at run-game blocking.
Jaylen Warren’s 40.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this season reflects a noteable progression in his running talent over last season’s 23.0 rate.
This year, the daunting Seattle Seahawks run defense has surrendered a mere 4.74 adjusted yards-per-carry to the opposition’s run game: the 28th-best rate in football.

Cons

The Steelers may take to the air less in this week’s contest (and call more rushes) given that they be rolling with backup QB Mason Rudolph.
This week’s spread indicates a throwing game script for the Steelers, who are -4.5-point underdogs.
Given their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Steelers are forecasted by the projections to call only 63.5 total plays in this game: the 5th-fewest on the slate this week.
The Steelers have called the 5th-fewest plays in football this year, averaging a lowly 55.3 plays per game.

Projection

THE BLITZ
44
Rushing Yards