NHL Best Bets for Tuesday (11/19)
Kenneth Le
Jaylen WarrenRushing Yards
Player Props – Week 17
Seahawks vs. Steelers
Right now, Jaylen Warren’s rushing yards prop is set at 34.5 yards (-115/-113).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 34.5 (-113) after it opened @ 36.5 (-113).
Pros
- Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Steelers to run on 44.7% of their chances: the 10th-highest clip on the slate this week.
- Jaylen Warren has been a more integral piece of his offense’s rushing attack this year (32.2% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (16.3%).
- The Pittsburgh Steelers offensive line grades out as the 10th-best in the league last year at run-game blocking.
- Jaylen Warren’s 40.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this season reflects a noteable progression in his running talent over last season’s 23.0 rate.
- This year, the daunting Seattle Seahawks run defense has surrendered a mere 4.74 adjusted yards-per-carry to the opposition’s run game: the 28th-best rate in football.
Cons
- The Steelers may take to the air less in this week’s contest (and call more rushes) given that they be rolling with backup QB Mason Rudolph.
- This week’s spread indicates a throwing game script for the Steelers, who are -4.5-point underdogs.
- Given their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Steelers are forecasted by the projections to call only 63.5 total plays in this game: the 5th-fewest on the slate this week.
- The Steelers have called the 5th-fewest plays in football this year, averaging a lowly 55.3 plays per game.
Projection
THE BLITZ
44
Rushing Yards
44
Rushing Yards
