Prime-Time First TD Bets — Sunday Night Football, Week 16
Alex Christenson
James ConnerRushing Yards
Player Props – Week 17
Eagles vs. Cardinals
Right now, James Conner’s rushing yards prop is set at 55.5 yards (-105/-125).
Pros
- Our trusted projections expect James Conner to notch 14.2 rush attempts this week, on balance, putting him in the 77th percentile when it comes to running backs.
- Among all RBs, James Conner ranks in the 90th percentile for rush attempts this year, accounting for 55.6% of the workload in his team’s run game.
- With a fantastic rate of 70.0 adjusted rushing yards per game (96th percentile), James Conner ranks among the best RBs in the NFL this year.
- With a remarkable record of 4.94 adjusted yards per carry (90th percentile), James Conner places among the top running backs in football this year.
- With an excellent record of 3.77 yards after contact (100th percentile), James Conner has been among the unyielding RBs in the league this year.
Cons
- At a -12.5-point disadvantage, the Cardinals are big underdogs this week, suggesting much more of a reliance on throwing than their standard approach.
- The projections expect the Arizona Cardinals as the 11th-least run-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 40.7% run rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
- The predictive model expects the Cardinals to run the 7th-fewest total plays on the slate this week with 63.6 plays, based on their underlying traits and game dynamics.
- In regards to blocking for ball-carriers (and the ramifications it has on all ground game metrics), the offensive line of the Arizona Cardinals ranks as the 5th-worst in the league last year.
- This year, the imposing Philadelphia Eagles run defense has conceded a mere 92.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground to opposing offenses: the 6th-fewest in the NFL.
Projection
THE BLITZ
66
Rushing Yards
66
Rushing Yards
