Week 17 Player Props: Rushing Yards for D'Andre Swift from EV Insight

D’Andre SwiftRushing Yards

Right now, D’Andre Swift’s rushing yards prop is set at 70.5 yards (-125/-105).

The public has bet the OVER up to 70.5 (-125) after it opened @ 65.5 (-115).

Pros

This game’s line indicates an extreme rushing game script for the Eagles, who are a heavy favorite by 12.5 points.
The model projects the Philadelphia Eagles as the 2nd-most run-centric team among all teams this week with a 53.5% run rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
Accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Philadelphia Eagles are forecasted by the projection model to run 65.7 total plays in this game: the 10th-most among all teams this week.
The 3rd-largest volume of plays in football have been called by the Philadelphia Eagles this year (a colossal 61.2 per game on average).
Opposing squads have rushed for the most adjusted yards in the NFL (153 per game) against the Arizona Cardinals defense this year.

Cons

D’Andre Swift’s ground efficiency has diminished this season, accumulating just 4.37 adjusted yards-per-carry compared to a 5.43 figure last season.

Projection

THE BLITZ
72
Rushing Yards