Prime-Time First TD Bets — Sunday Night Football, Week 16
Alex Christenson
D’Andre SwiftRushing Yards
Player Props – Week 17
Eagles vs. Cardinals
Right now, D’Andre Swift’s rushing yards prop is set at 70.5 yards (-125/-105).
The public has bet the OVER up to 70.5 (-125) after it opened @ 65.5 (-115).
Pros
- This game’s line indicates an extreme rushing game script for the Eagles, who are a heavy favorite by 12.5 points.
- The model projects the Philadelphia Eagles as the 2nd-most run-centric team among all teams this week with a 53.5% run rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
- Accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Philadelphia Eagles are forecasted by the projection model to run 65.7 total plays in this game: the 10th-most among all teams this week.
- The 3rd-largest volume of plays in football have been called by the Philadelphia Eagles this year (a colossal 61.2 per game on average).
- Opposing squads have rushed for the most adjusted yards in the NFL (153 per game) against the Arizona Cardinals defense this year.
Cons
- D’Andre Swift’s ground efficiency has diminished this season, accumulating just 4.37 adjusted yards-per-carry compared to a 5.43 figure last season.
Projection
THE BLITZ
72
Rushing Yards
72
Rushing Yards
