Week 17 Player Props: Rushing Yards for Austin Ekeler from EV Insight

Austin EkelerRushing Yards

Right now, Austin Ekeler’s rushing yards prop is set at 44.5 yards (-110/-120).

The public has bet the OVER up to 44.5 (-110) after it opened @ 43.5 (-115).

Pros

This week, Austin Ekeler is forecasted by the projections to land in the 79th percentile when it comes to RBs with 14.4 carries.
Among all running backs, Austin Ekeler ranks in the 87th percentile for carries this year, making up 54.2% of the workload in his offense’s rushing attack.
This year, the fierce Broncos run defense has allowed a paltry 5.39 adjusted yards-per-carry to the opposition’s run game: the 32nd-lowest rate in the league.
As it relates to the defensive tackles’ role in defending against the run, Denver’s unit has been lousy this year, grading out as the 5th-worst in the NFL. in the NFL.

Cons

The Los Angeles Chargers may take to the air less in this contest (and call more rushes) as a result of being be rolling with backup QB Easton Stick.
The Chargers are a 3.5-point underdog this week, which points towards a passing game script.
With a 35.5% rate of rushing the ball (in a neutral context) this year, the 8th-least run-focused team in the league has been the Los Angeles Chargers.
The projections expect the Chargers to call the 3rd-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 63.1 plays, given their underlying traits and game dynamics.
Austin Ekeler’s 47.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this season marks a significant drop-off in his rushing ability over last season’s 58.0 figure.

Projection

THE BLITZ
62
Rushing Yards