NHL Best Bets for Tuesday (11/19)
Kenneth Le
Alvin KamaraRushing Yards
Player Props – Week 17
Buccaneers vs. Saints
Right now, Alvin Kamara’s rushing yards prop is set at 44.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the OVER up to 44.5 (-110) after it opened @ 41.5 (-114).
Pros
- The predictive model expects the Saints to run the 8th-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 65.9 plays, given their underlying traits and game dynamics.
- The Saints have run the 5th-most plays in football this year, totaling a monstrous 60.8 plays per game.
- The model projects Alvin Kamara to accumulate 14.8 carries this week, on balance, putting him in the 80th percentile when it comes to RBs.
- Among all running backs, Alvin Kamara grades out in the 90th percentile for carries this year, comprising 55.6% of the workload in his team’s running game.
- Alvin Kamara has grinded out 57.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this year, one of the highest marks in the league when it comes to running backs (85th percentile).
Cons
- Opposing teams have rushed for the 8th-fewest adjusted yards in football (just 96.0 per game) vs. the Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense this year.
Projection
THE BLITZ
60
Rushing Yards
60
Rushing Yards
