NHL Best Bets for Tuesday (11/19)
Kenneth Le
Wan’Dale RobinsonReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 17
Giants vs. Rams
Right now, Wan’Dale Robinson’s receiving yards prop is set at 32.5 yards (-110/-110).
Pros
- The Giants will be forced to use backup QB Tyrod Taylor in this week’s contest, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
- At a -6.5-point disadvantage, the Giants are underdogs this week, suggesting more of a focus on throwing than their usual approach.
- Given the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is forecasted by the projections to have 132.4 plays on offense run: the 2nd-highest number on the slate this week.
- Opposing QBs have averaged 38.5 pass attempts per game vs. the Rams defense this year: 6th-most in the league.
- In this contest, Wan’Dale Robinson is forecasted by the projection model to secure a spot in the 78th percentile when it comes to wide receivers with 6.5 targets.
Cons
- The model projects the Giants as the 9th-least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 54.8% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- Wan’Dale Robinson has totaled quite a few less air yards this year (24.0 per game) than he did last year (30.0 per game).
- The Giants offensive line grades out as the worst in football this year in pass protection, which has a harmful impact on all pass attack stats across the board.
- Wan’Dale Robinson’s 6.7 adjusted yards per target this season indicates a substantial regression in his receiving skills over last season’s 7.9 rate.
- With a bad 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (1st percentile) this year, Wan’Dale Robinson has been among the best wide receivers in the league in the league in space.
Projection
THE BLITZ
42
Receiving Yards
42
Receiving Yards
