Week 17 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Tyreek Hill from EV Insight

Tyreek HillReceiving Yards

Right now, Tyreek Hill’s receiving yards prop is set at 94.5 yards (-166/+120).

The public has bet the OVER up to 94.5 (-166) after it opened @ 93.5 (-117).

Pros

A passing game script is suggested by the Dolphins being a -3-point underdog in this week’s contest.
The projections expect the Dolphins to be the least pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 0.0% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
Opposing QBs have averaged 40.6 pass attempts per game vs. the Ravens defense this year: 2nd-most in football.
In this week’s game, Tyreek Hill is projected by our trusted projection set to land in the 100th percentile among wideouts with 12.5 targets.
Tyreek Hill has accrued substantially more adjusted receiving yards per game (111.0) this season than he did last season (92.0).

Cons

The projections expect the Dolphins to call the 9th-fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 63.8 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The 7th-smallest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Dolphins this year (only 55.7 per game on average).
After averaging 131.0 air yards per game last season, Tyreek Hill has seen a big decrease this season, currently averaging 113.0 per game.
The Miami O-line profiles as the 10th-worst in football this year in pass protection, which has a harmful influence on all pass attack statistics across the board.
This year, the formidable Baltimore Ravens defense has surrendered a feeble 59.9% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing WRs: the 5th-best rate in football.

Projection

THE BLITZ
107
Receiving Yards