Week 17 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Tyler Higbee from EV Insight

Tyler HigbeeReceiving Yards

Right now, Tyler Higbee’s receiving yards prop is set at 24.5 yards (-110/-110).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 24.5 (-110) after it opened @ 25.5 (-110).

Pros

The predictive model expects the Los Angeles Rams to call the 8th-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 65.9 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The 5th-highest number of plays in the league have been run by the Los Angeles Rams this year (a whopping 60.8 per game on average).
Tyler Higbee’s 79.7% Route Participation Rate this season reflects a noteable growth in his pass game utilization over last season’s 69.7% mark.
Tyler Higbee has totaled a massive 25.0 air yards per game this year: 76th percentile when it comes to TEs.
Tyler Higbee’s receiving effectiveness has gotten better this year, accumulating 6.95 adjusted yards-per-target vs a measly 5.92 figure last year.

Cons

A running game script is implied by the Rams being a 6.5-point favorite in this game.
Tyler Higbee’s 29.0 adjusted receiving yards per game this year shows a remarkable drop-off in his receiving prowess over last year’s 38.0 mark.
With a bad 67.4% Adjusted Completion Rate (18th percentile) this year, Tyler Higbee stands among the most unreliable receivers in the league when it comes to TEs.
This year, the tough New York Giants defense has yielded a paltry 67.2% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing TEs: the smallest rate in the league.
The Giants safeties project as the 3rd-best safety corps in the league this year in defending pass-catchers.

Projection

THE BLITZ
22
Receiving Yards