Week 17 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Trey McBride

Trey McBrideReceiving Yards

Right now, Trey McBride’s receiving yards prop is set at 66.5 yards (-110/-110).

The public has bet the OVER up to 66.5 (-110) after it opened @ 63.5 (-114).

Pros

At a -12.5-point disadvantage, the Cardinals are big underdogs this week, suggesting much more of a reliance on throwing than their standard approach.
The Philadelphia Eagles defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, inducing opposing QBs to attempt the most passes in the league (40.8 per game) this year.
In this game, Trey McBride is projected by the model to slot into the 100th percentile when it comes to TEs with 9.6 targets.
The predictive model expects Trey McBride to be a much bigger part of his team’s pass game this week (29.0% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (19.9% in games he has played).
Trey McBride’s 48.0 adjusted yards per game on passes this season shows a substantial gain in his pass-catching prowess over last season’s 29.0 mark.

Cons

The leading projections forecast the Cardinals to be the 9th-least pass-oriented offense in football (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 58.1% pass rate.
The predictive model expects the Cardinals to run the 7th-fewest total plays on the slate this week with 63.6 plays, based on their underlying traits and game dynamics.
The Cardinals O-line profiles as the 10th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative influence on all pass game statistics across the board.
The Philadelphia defensive ends grade out as the 2nd-best unit in football this year when it comes to pass rush.

Projection

THE BLITZ
70
Receiving Yards