NHL Best Bets for Tuesday (11/19)
Kenneth Le
Trey McBrideReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 17
Eagles vs. Cardinals
Right now, Trey McBride’s receiving yards prop is set at 66.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the OVER up to 66.5 (-110) after it opened @ 63.5 (-114).
Pros
- At a -12.5-point disadvantage, the Cardinals are big underdogs this week, suggesting much more of a reliance on throwing than their standard approach.
- The Philadelphia Eagles defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, inducing opposing QBs to attempt the most passes in the league (40.8 per game) this year.
- In this game, Trey McBride is projected by the model to slot into the 100th percentile when it comes to TEs with 9.6 targets.
- The predictive model expects Trey McBride to be a much bigger part of his team’s pass game this week (29.0% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (19.9% in games he has played).
- Trey McBride’s 48.0 adjusted yards per game on passes this season shows a substantial gain in his pass-catching prowess over last season’s 29.0 mark.
Cons
- The leading projections forecast the Cardinals to be the 9th-least pass-oriented offense in football (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 58.1% pass rate.
- The predictive model expects the Cardinals to run the 7th-fewest total plays on the slate this week with 63.6 plays, based on their underlying traits and game dynamics.
- The Cardinals O-line profiles as the 10th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative influence on all pass game statistics across the board.
- The Philadelphia defensive ends grade out as the 2nd-best unit in football this year when it comes to pass rush.
Projection
THE BLITZ
70
Receiving Yards
70
Receiving Yards
