Week 17 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Richie James from EV Insight

Richie JamesReceiving Yards

Right now, Richie James’s receiving yards prop is set at 37.5 yards (-113/-115).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 37.5 (-115) after it opened @ 39.5 (-115).

Pros

THE BLITZ projects the Giants to run the 9th-most total plays among all teams this week with 65.6 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Richie James has been among the most reliable receivers in football, hauling in a terrific 83.6% of passes thrown his way this year, checking in at the 99th percentile among wide receivers.
The Indianapolis Colts pass defense has not been good when opposing wide receivers have gotten into space, surrendering an average of 4.97 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 5th-most in the league.
The New York Giants have incorporated play action on 28.4% of their dropbacks since the start of last season (10th-most in the NFL), making the defense think run and leading to much higher passing efficiency.
The New York Giants have gone no-huddle on 30.1% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (2nd-most in the league). This quickens the pace, resulting in more volume and stat accumulation.

Cons

The Giants are a 5.5-point favorite in this week’s contest, indicating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the New York Giants to be the 7th-least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 52.0% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Opposing teams have averaged 32.9 pass attempts per game versus the Indianapolis Colts defense this year: 7th-least in the NFL.
The New York Giants O-line ranks as the 8th-worst in football this year in pass protection, which has a negative effect on all pass game statistics across the board.
Richie James has been among the worst WRs in the league at grinding out extra yardage, averaging a mere 2.88 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while grading out in the 19th percentile.

Projection

THE BLITZ
44
Receiving Yards