Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Kansas City Chiefs to pass on 60.9% of their plays: the 9th-greatest frequency among all teams this week.
In this week’s contest, Rashee Rice is forecasted by the model to place in the 92nd percentile among wideouts with 8.8 targets.
The predictive model expects Rashee Rice to be a much bigger part of his offense’s passing game in this week’s game (25.5% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (17.8% in games he has played).
With an exceptional 62.0 adjusted yards per game on passes (84th percentile) this year, Rashee Rice rates among the best WRs in the league in the NFL.
This year, the weak Bengals defense has been torched for a massive 183.0 adjusted receiving yards per game to opposing wide receivers: the 4th-worst in football.
Cons
The Chiefs are a heavy 7-point favorite in this week’s game, likely leading to an extreme rushing game script.
Given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Chiefs are forecasted by our trusted projection set to run just 63.5 plays on offense in this game: the 5th-lowest number among all teams this week.