NHL Best Bets for Tuesday (11/19)
Kenneth Le
Pat FreiermuthReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 17
Seahawks vs. Steelers
Right now, Pat Freiermuth’s receiving yards prop is set at 22.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the OVER up to 22.5 (-110) after it opened @ 21.5 (-110).
Pros
- The Steelers may take to the air less in this week’s contest (and call more rushes) given that they be rolling with backup QB Mason Rudolph.
- This week’s spread indicates a throwing game script for the Steelers, who are -4.5-point underdogs.
- In this week’s contest, Pat Freiermuth is projected by the model to slot into the 79th percentile among TEs with 4.8 targets.
- This year, the anemic Seattle Seahawks defense has yielded a monstrous 55.0 adjusted receiving yards per game vs. opposing TEs: the 9th-most in football.
- The Seahawks pass defense has struggled when opposing tight ends have gotten into space, conceding an average of 6.13 yards-after-the-catch this year: the most in the league.
Cons
- The model projects the Pittsburgh Steelers to be the 10th-least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 55.3% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
- Given their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Steelers are forecasted by the projections to call only 63.5 total plays in this game: the 5th-fewest on the slate this week.
- The Steelers have called the 5th-fewest plays in football this year, averaging a lowly 55.3 plays per game.
- Pat Freiermuth has posted quite a few less air yards this season (29.0 per game) than he did last season (50.0 per game).
- Pat Freiermuth has notched many fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (28.0) this season than he did last season (49.0).
Projection
THE BLITZ
29
Receiving Yards
29
Receiving Yards
