NHL Best Bets for Tuesday (11/19)
Kenneth Le
Mike EvansReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 17
Buccaneers vs. Saints
Right now, Mike Evans’s receiving yards prop is set at 62.5 yards (-130/+100).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 62.5 (+100) after it opened @ 64.5 (-115).
Pros
- The predictive model expects this game to have the 2nd-highest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 132.4 plays, accounting for the traits of each team and game dynamics.
- In this week’s game, Mike Evans is anticipated by the predictive model to finish in the 89th percentile among WRs with 8.3 targets.
- In regards to air yards, Mike Evans grades out in the lofty 98th percentile among WRs this year, accruing a remarkable 121.0 per game.
- Mike Evans’s 68.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that examines high-value offensive usage) has been substantially higher this year than it was last year at 55.0.
- Mike Evans grades out as one of the best wide receivers in the NFL this year, averaging an impressive 71.0 adjusted yards per game while grading out in the 90th percentile.
Cons
- Our trusted projections expect the Buccaneers as the 11th-least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 55.7% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
- This year, the formidable Saints defense has given up a paltry 58.5% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing wide receivers: the 4th-best rate in football.
- The Saints linebackers project as the 5th-best collection of LBs in the league this year in pass coverage.
Projection
THE BLITZ
66
Receiving Yards
66
Receiving Yards
