Week 17 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Gerald Everett from EV Insight

Gerald EverettReceiving Yards

Right now, Gerald Everett’s receiving yards prop is set at 39.5 yards (-104/-131).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 39.5 (-131) after it opened @ 40.5 (-119).

Pros

The Los Angeles Chargers may take to the air less in this contest (and call more rushes) as a result of being be rolling with backup QB Easton Stick.
The Chargers are a 3.5-point underdog this week, which points towards a passing game script.
The Chargers rank as the 8th-most pass-centric team in the league (context-neutralized) this year with a 64.5% pass rate.
In this game, Gerald Everett is projected by the model to finish in the 95th percentile when it comes to tight ends with 7.3 targets.
This year, the anemic Broncos defense has been gouged for a whopping 64.0 adjusted receiving yards per game to opposing TEs: the 2nd-worst in the NFL.

Cons

The projections expect the Chargers to call the 3rd-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 63.1 plays, given their underlying traits and game dynamics.
After averaging 31.0 air yards per game last year, Gerald Everett has been a disappointment this year, now pacing 19.0 per game.
Gerald Everett comes in as one of the least effective pass-catchers in the league among TEs, averaging just 6.65 adjusted yards-per-target this year while ranking in the 24th percentile.

Projection

THE BLITZ
45
Receiving Yards