Week 17 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Chris Olave from EV Insight

Chris OlaveReceiving Yards

Right now, Chris Olave’s receiving yards prop is set at 66.5 yards (-115/-115).

Pros

The predictive model expects the Saints to run the 8th-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 65.9 plays, given their underlying traits and game dynamics.
The Saints have run the 5th-most plays in football this year, totaling a monstrous 60.8 plays per game.
Opposing QBs have averaged 39.5 pass attempts per game versus the Buccaneers defense this year: 4th-most in football.
In this week’s contest, Chris Olave is forecasted by the model to secure a spot in the 96th percentile when it comes to wideouts with 10.3 targets.
After totaling 114.0 air yards per game last season, Chris Olave has gotten better this season, currently averaging 131.0 per game.

Cons

The New Orleans O-line profiles as the 4th-worst in the league this year in pass protection, which has a negative effect on all passing attack metrics across the board.
Chris Olave comes in as one of the weakest WRs in the league at picking up extra yardage, averaging a measly 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while checking in at the 1st percentile.

Projection

THE BLITZ
84
Receiving Yards