Prime-Time First TD Bets — Sunday Night Football, Week 16
Alex Christenson
Chris OlaveReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 17
Buccaneers vs. Saints
Right now, Chris Olave’s receiving yards prop is set at 66.5 yards (-115/-115).
Pros
- The predictive model expects the Saints to run the 8th-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 65.9 plays, given their underlying traits and game dynamics.
- The Saints have run the 5th-most plays in football this year, totaling a monstrous 60.8 plays per game.
- Opposing QBs have averaged 39.5 pass attempts per game versus the Buccaneers defense this year: 4th-most in football.
- In this week’s contest, Chris Olave is forecasted by the model to secure a spot in the 96th percentile when it comes to wideouts with 10.3 targets.
- After totaling 114.0 air yards per game last season, Chris Olave has gotten better this season, currently averaging 131.0 per game.
Cons
- The New Orleans O-line profiles as the 4th-worst in the league this year in pass protection, which has a negative effect on all passing attack metrics across the board.
- Chris Olave comes in as one of the weakest WRs in the league at picking up extra yardage, averaging a measly 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while checking in at the 1st percentile.
Projection
THE BLITZ
84
Receiving Yards
84
Receiving Yards
