Week 17 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Cade Otton from EV Insight

Cade OttonReceiving Yards

Right now, Cade Otton’s receiving yards prop is set at 26.5 yards (-110/-110).

Pros

The predictive model expects this game to have the 2nd-highest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 132.4 plays, accounting for the traits of each team and game dynamics.
Cade Otton’s 87.8% Route Participation Rate this year signifies a noteworthy boost in his air attack utilization over last year’s 63.9% figure.
As it relates to air yards, Cade Otton grades out in the towering 78th percentile among tight ends this year, accruing an astounding 28.0 per game.
Cade Otton’s ball-catching skills have been refined this season, with his Adjusted Catch% rising from 66.2% to 74.0%.
Cade Otton’s pass-catching effectiveness has gotten better this season, notching 7.44 adjusted yards-per-target compared to a measly 6.38 mark last season.

Cons

Our trusted projections expect the Buccaneers as the 11th-least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 55.7% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
With a subpar 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (2nd percentile) this year, Cade Otton stands among the top tight ends in the pass game in the league in the open field.
This year, the strong New Orleans Saints defense has allowed a mere 69.9% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing tight ends: the 7th-best rate in football.
The Saints linebackers project as the 5th-best collection of LBs in the league this year in pass coverage.

Projection

THE BLITZ
26
Receiving Yards