NHL Best Bets for Tuesday (11/19)
Kenneth Le
A.J. BrownReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 17
Eagles vs. Cardinals
Right now, A.J. Brown’s receiving yards prop is set at 85.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the OVER up to 85.5 (-110) after it opened @ 82.5 (-114).
Pros
- Accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Philadelphia Eagles are forecasted by the projection model to run 65.7 total plays in this game: the 10th-most among all teams this week.
- The 3rd-largest volume of plays in football have been called by the Philadelphia Eagles this year (a colossal 61.2 per game on average).
- The model projects A.J. Brown to accrue 8.6 targets in this contest, on average, putting him in the 91st percentile when it comes to wideouts.
- After totaling 104.0 air yards per game last season, A.J. Brown has undergone big improvement this season, now averaging 120.0 per game.
- A.J. Brown has put up a lot more adjusted receiving yards per game (94.0) this season than he did last season (80.0).
Cons
- This game’s line indicates an extreme rushing game script for the Eagles, who are a heavy favorite by 12.5 points.
- The predictive model expects the Eagles as the 2nd-least pass-focused offense among all teams this week with a 46.5% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
- Opposing offenses teams have been unwilling to test the pass defense of the Arizona Cardinals, totaling the 3rd-fewest attempts in the NFL (a lowly 32.2 per game) this year.
- This year, the fierce Arizona Cardinals pass defense has conceded the 7th-least yards-after-the-catch in football to opposing wide receivers: a measly 3.4 YAC.
Projection
THE BLITZ
77
Receiving Yards
77
Receiving Yards
