NHL Best Bets for Tuesday (11/19)
Kenneth Le
Tyrod TaylorPassing Yards
Player Props – Week 17
Giants vs. Rams
Right now, Tyrod Taylor’s passing yards prop is set at 205.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the OVER up to 205.5 (-110) after it opened @ 196.5 (-110).
Pros
- The Giants will be forced to use backup QB Tyrod Taylor in this week’s contest, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
- At a -6.5-point disadvantage, the Giants are underdogs this week, suggesting more of a focus on throwing than their usual approach.
- Given the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is forecasted by the projections to have 132.4 plays on offense run: the 2nd-highest number on the slate this week.
- Opposing QBs have averaged 38.5 pass attempts per game vs. the Rams defense this year: 6th-most in the league.
- When it comes to safeties in pass coverage, Los Angeles’s safety corps has been easily exploitable this year, ranking as the 5th-worst in football.
Cons
- The model projects the Giants as the 9th-least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 54.8% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- Tyrod Taylor has attempted a measly 14.4 throws per game this year, checking in at the 11th percentile among quarterbacks.
- The Giants offensive line grades out as the worst in football this year in pass protection, which has a harmful impact on all pass attack stats across the board.
- With a dreadful rate of 90.0 adjusted passing yards per game (11th percentile), Tyrod Taylor has been among the weakest quarterbacks in football this year.
- This year, the strong Rams defense has surrendered a feeble 64.1% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing teams: the 4th-best rate in football.
Projection
THE BLITZ
198
Passing Yards
198
Passing Yards
