Week 17 Player Props: Passing Yards for Tyrod Taylor

Tyrod TaylorPassing Yards

Right now, Tyrod Taylor’s passing yards prop is set at 205.5 yards (-110/-110).

The public has bet the OVER up to 205.5 (-110) after it opened @ 196.5 (-110).

Pros

The Giants will be forced to use backup QB Tyrod Taylor in this week’s contest, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
At a -6.5-point disadvantage, the Giants are underdogs this week, suggesting more of a focus on throwing than their usual approach.
Given the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is forecasted by the projections to have 132.4 plays on offense run: the 2nd-highest number on the slate this week.
Opposing QBs have averaged 38.5 pass attempts per game vs. the Rams defense this year: 6th-most in the league.
When it comes to safeties in pass coverage, Los Angeles’s safety corps has been easily exploitable this year, ranking as the 5th-worst in football.

Cons

The model projects the Giants as the 9th-least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 54.8% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Tyrod Taylor has attempted a measly 14.4 throws per game this year, checking in at the 11th percentile among quarterbacks.
The Giants offensive line grades out as the worst in football this year in pass protection, which has a harmful impact on all pass attack stats across the board.
With a dreadful rate of 90.0 adjusted passing yards per game (11th percentile), Tyrod Taylor has been among the weakest quarterbacks in football this year.
This year, the strong Rams defense has surrendered a feeble 64.1% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing teams: the 4th-best rate in football.

Projection

THE BLITZ
198
Passing Yards