Week 17 Player Props: Passing Yards for Matthew Stafford from EV Insight

Matthew StaffordPassing Yards

Right now, Matthew Stafford’s passing yards prop is set at 253.5 yards (-110/-110).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 253.5 (-110) after it opened @ 258.5 (-110).

Pros

The predictive model expects the Los Angeles Rams to call the 8th-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 65.9 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The 5th-highest number of plays in the league have been run by the Los Angeles Rams this year (a whopping 60.8 per game on average).
Matthew Stafford has attempted 36.7 throws per game this year, checking in at the 83rd percentile among QBs.
Matthew Stafford’s 259.0 adjusted passing yards per game this year signifies a meaningful progression in his throwing prowess over last year’s 220.0 figure.
The New York Giants defense has struggled when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, surrendering an average of 5.20 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year: the 7th-most in football.

Cons

A running game script is implied by the Rams being a 6.5-point favorite in this game.
Matthew Stafford’s passing precision has worsened this season, with his Adjusted Completion% shrinking from 65.3% to 62.1%.

Projection

THE BLITZ
234
Passing Yards