Prime-Time First TD Bets — Sunday Night Football, Week 16
Alex Christenson
Matthew StaffordPassing Yards
Player Props – Week 17
Giants vs. Rams
Right now, Matthew Stafford’s passing yards prop is set at 253.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 253.5 (-110) after it opened @ 258.5 (-110).
Pros
- The predictive model expects the Los Angeles Rams to call the 8th-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 65.9 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
- The 5th-highest number of plays in the league have been run by the Los Angeles Rams this year (a whopping 60.8 per game on average).
- Matthew Stafford has attempted 36.7 throws per game this year, checking in at the 83rd percentile among QBs.
- Matthew Stafford’s 259.0 adjusted passing yards per game this year signifies a meaningful progression in his throwing prowess over last year’s 220.0 figure.
- The New York Giants defense has struggled when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, surrendering an average of 5.20 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year: the 7th-most in football.
Cons
- A running game script is implied by the Rams being a 6.5-point favorite in this game.
- Matthew Stafford’s passing precision has worsened this season, with his Adjusted Completion% shrinking from 65.3% to 62.1%.
Projection
THE BLITZ
234
Passing Yards
234
Passing Yards
