Prime-Time First TD Bets — Sunday Night Football, Week 16
Alex Christenson
Kyler MurrayPassing Yards
Player Props – Week 17
Eagles vs. Cardinals
Right now, Kyler Murray’s passing yards prop is set at 223.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 223.5 (-110) after it opened @ 230.5 (-114).
Pros
- At a -12.5-point disadvantage, the Cardinals are big underdogs this week, suggesting much more of a reliance on throwing than their standard approach.
- In logging a monstrous 35.0 pass attempts per game this year, Kyler Murray slots in among the top quarterbacks in football (79th percentile) in this statistic.
- The Philadelphia Eagles defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, inducing opposing QBs to attempt the most passes in the league (40.8 per game) this year.
- Opposing QBs have thrown for the 7th-most adjusted yards in the league (266.0 per game) versus the Philadelphia Eagles defense this year.
- As it relates to cornerbacks in defending pass-catchers, Philadelphia’s collection of CBs has been awful this year, profiling as the 4th-worst in the league.
Cons
- The leading projections forecast the Cardinals to be the 9th-least pass-oriented offense in football (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 58.1% pass rate.
- The predictive model expects the Cardinals to run the 7th-fewest total plays on the slate this week with 63.6 plays, based on their underlying traits and game dynamics.
- The Cardinals O-line profiles as the 10th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative influence on all pass game statistics across the board.
- The Philadelphia Eagles defense has excelled when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, yielding an average of 4.16 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 5th-fewest in the league.
Projection
THE BLITZ
214
Passing Yards
214
Passing Yards
