Prime-Time First TD Bets — Sunday Night Football, Week 16
Alex Christenson
Jalen HurtsPassing Yards
Player Props – Week 17
Eagles vs. Cardinals
Right now, Jalen Hurts’s passing yards prop is set at 248.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the OVER up to 248.5 (-110) after it opened @ 244.5 (-110).
Pros
- Accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Philadelphia Eagles are forecasted by the projection model to run 65.7 total plays in this game: the 10th-most among all teams this week.
- The 3rd-largest volume of plays in football have been called by the Philadelphia Eagles this year (a colossal 61.2 per game on average).
- When it comes to pass protection (and the strong effect it has on all pass attack metrics), the offensive line of the Philadelphia Eagles grades out as the best in football this year.
- This year, the weak Cardinals defense has given up a monstrous 72.8% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing offenses: the 8th-largest rate in the NFL.
- As it relates to cornerbacks in defending receivers, Arizona’s CB corps has been atrocious this year, profiling as the worst in the league.
Cons
- This game’s line indicates an extreme rushing game script for the Eagles, who are a heavy favorite by 12.5 points.
- The predictive model expects the Eagles as the 2nd-least pass-focused offense among all teams this week with a 46.5% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
- The projections expect Jalen Hurts to throw 28.4 passes in this game, on balance: the 4th-fewest among all quarterbacks.
- Opposing offenses teams have been unwilling to test the pass defense of the Arizona Cardinals, totaling the 3rd-fewest attempts in the NFL (a lowly 32.2 per game) this year.
- Opposing QBs have thrown for the 8th-fewest yards in the league (just 224.0 adjusted yards per game) versus the Cardinals defense this year.
Projection
THE BLITZ
204
Passing Yards
204
Passing Yards
