Week 16 Player Props: Rushing Yards for Ty Chandler from EV Insight

Ty ChandlerRushing Yards

Right now, Ty Chandler’s rushing yards prop is set at 57.5 yards (-110/-110).

The public has bet the OVER up to 57.5 (-110) after it opened @ 56.5 (-110).

Pros

The predictive model expects this game to see the 5th-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 130.9 plays, based on the traits of each team and game dynamics.
The predictive model expects Ty Chandler to be much more involved in his team’s rushing attack in this week’s game (56.5% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (29.5% in games he has played).
Ty Chandler’s ground effectiveness (4.42 adjusted yards per carry) has been some of the best in the NFL this year (76th percentile among RBs).

Cons

The Minnesota Vikings may pass less in this week’s game (and hand the ball off more) since they be rolling out backup QB Nick Mullens.
The model projects the Vikings to be the least run-focused offense on the slate this week with a 35.6% run rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
The Detroit Lions defense has produced the 5th-best efficiency against opposing rushing attacks this year, yielding just 3.88 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC).
The Detroit Lions defensive ends rank as the 5th-best DE corps in the NFL this year with their run defense.

Projection

THE BLITZ
56
Rushing Yards