Week 16 Player Props: Rushing Yards for Kyren Williams from EV Insight

Kyren WilliamsRushing Yards

Right now, Kyren Williams’s rushing yards prop is set at 91.5 yards (-110/-110).

The public has bet the OVER up to 91.5 (-110) after it opened @ 88.5 (-114).

Pros

This week’s spread indicates a rushing game script for the Rams, who are favored by 4.5 points.
The leading projections forecast this game to see the 3rd-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 135.4 plays, accounting for the play styles of each team and game dynamics.
The 6th-largest volume of plays in the NFL have been run by the Rams this year (a whopping 60.6 per game on average).
Kyren Williams has run for significantly more adjusted yards per game (100.0) this season than he did last season (15.0).
The New Orleans Saints defense has had the 8th-worst efficiency against opposing running games this year, yielding 4.69 adjusted yards-per-carry.

Cons

Calm weather conditions (like the 1-mph wind being predicted in this game) typically cause increased passing effectiveness, higher TD potential, higher air volume, and lower ground volume.
The New Orleans Saints linebackers rank as the 2nd-best collection of LBs in the league this year when it comes to defending the run.

Projection

THE BLITZ
100
Rushing Yards