Prime-Time First TD Bets — Monday Night Football, Week 16
Alex Christenson
Kyren WilliamsRushing Yards
Player Props – Week 16
Rams vs. Saints
Right now, Kyren Williams’s rushing yards prop is set at 91.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the OVER up to 91.5 (-110) after it opened @ 88.5 (-114).
Pros
- This week’s spread indicates a rushing game script for the Rams, who are favored by 4.5 points.
- The leading projections forecast this game to see the 3rd-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 135.4 plays, accounting for the play styles of each team and game dynamics.
- The 6th-largest volume of plays in the NFL have been run by the Rams this year (a whopping 60.6 per game on average).
- Kyren Williams has run for significantly more adjusted yards per game (100.0) this season than he did last season (15.0).
- The New Orleans Saints defense has had the 8th-worst efficiency against opposing running games this year, yielding 4.69 adjusted yards-per-carry.
Cons
- Calm weather conditions (like the 1-mph wind being predicted in this game) typically cause increased passing effectiveness, higher TD potential, higher air volume, and lower ground volume.
- The New Orleans Saints linebackers rank as the 2nd-best collection of LBs in the league this year when it comes to defending the run.
Projection
THE BLITZ
100
Rushing Yards
100
Rushing Yards
