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Week 16 Player Props: Rushing Yards for James Conner from EV Insight

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James Conner

James ConnerRushing Yards

Player Props – Week 16

Cardinals vs. Buccaneers

Right now, James Conner’s rushing yards prop is set at 67.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 67.5 (-110) after it opened @ 69.5 (-115).

Pros

  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 138.6 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Arizona Cardinals have called the 3rd-most plays in football this year, averaging a colossal 62.6 plays per game.
  • THE BLITZ projects James Conner to earn 18.6 carries in this contest, on average, placing him in the 96th percentile among running backs.
  • THE BLITZ projects James Conner to be a much bigger part of his offense’s run game this week (75.2% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (61.3% in games he has played).
  • James Conner has averaged 58.0 rushing yards per game this year, one of the biggest figures in football among RBs (80th percentile).
Cons

  • The Arizona Cardinals will be rolling with backup QB Trace McSorley in this game, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.
  • The Cardinals are a 6.5-point underdog in this week’s contest, which points towards a passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Arizona Cardinals to be the 4th-least run-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 36.1% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • The Arizona Cardinals offensive line grades out as the worst in the NFL this year in run blocking.

Projection
THE BLITZ
81
Rushing Yards

Previous Week 16 Player Props: Rushing Yards for Miles Sanders from EV Insight Next NFL Same Game Parlay Picks – Week 16 Sunday Slate
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