NHL Best Bets for Tuesday (11/19)
Kenneth Le
Chuba HubbardRushing Yards
Player Props – Week 16
Panthers vs. Packers
Right now, Chuba Hubbard’s rushing yards prop is set at 76.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the OVER up to 76.5 (-110) after it opened @ 68.5 (-114).
Pros
- The model projects the Panthers to be the 5th-most run-focused offense among all teams this week with a 46.2% run rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
- The 2nd-most plays in the NFL have been run by the Panthers this year (a monstrous 63.2 per game on average).
- In this week’s contest, Chuba Hubbard is anticipated by the model to land in the 97th percentile among running backs with 18.6 carries.
- The projections expect Chuba Hubbard to be a more integral piece of his offense’s run game in this contest (63.8% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (50.3% in games he has played).
- Opposing offenses have rushed for the 3rd-most adjusted yards in the NFL (141 per game) versus the Green Bay Packers defense this year.
Cons
- The Panthers are a 3.5-point underdog in this week’s game, which points towards a passing game script.
- The leading projections forecast this game to have the 4th-lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 126.5 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, and lower ground volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
- Chuba Hubbard’s ground effectiveness has diminished this year, accumulating a measly 3.93 adjusted yards-per-carry compared to a 4.73 rate last year.
Projection
THE BLITZ
81
Rushing Yards
81
Rushing Yards
