Week 16 Player Props: Rushing Yards for Austin Ekeler from EV Insight

Austin EkelerRushing Yards

Right now, Austin Ekeler’s rushing yards prop is set at 35.5 yards (-115/-115).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 35.5 (-115) after it opened @ 45.5 (-120).

Pros

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is expected by the predictive model to have 131.5 plays on offense called: the 4th-most among all games this week.
The Buffalo Bills defense has produced the 4th-worst efficiency against opposing run games this year, yielding 4.80 adjusted yards-per-carry.

Cons

The Los Angeles Chargers will be forced to use backup QB Easton Stick in this contest, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.
An extreme passing game script is suggested by the Chargers being a massive -12.5-point underdog this week.
Our trusted projections expect the Chargers to be the 3rd-least run-focused offense on the slate this week with a 37.6% run rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
Calm weather conditions (like the 1-mph wind being projected in this game) usually cause increased passing effectiveness, higher touchdown potential, higher air volume, and reduced ground volume.
Austin Ekeler has rushed for many fewer adjusted yards per game (46.0) this year than he did last year (58.0).

Projection

THE BLITZ
46
Rushing Yards