Week 16 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Richie James from EV Insight

Richie JamesReceiving Yards

Right now, Richie James’s receiving yards prop is set at 39.5 yards (-110/-110).

The public has bet the OVER up to 39.5 (-110) after it opened @ 36.5 (-114).

Pros

The Giants are a 4.5-point underdog in this week’s contest, likely leading to a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Giants to call the 7th-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 67.6 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
Opposing offenses have averaged 38.9 pass attempts per game versus the Minnesota Vikings defense this year: 2nd-most in the league.
THE BLITZ projects Richie James to notch 7.0 targets this week, on average, placing him in the 82nd percentile among wideouts.

Cons

THE BLITZ projects the New York Giants as the 6th-least pass-heavy team in the league (adjusted for context) right now with a 58.0% pass rate.
The New York Giants O-line grades out as the 8th-worst in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a negative effect on all pass attack stats across the board.
Richie James has been among the worst WRs in the league at picking up extra yardage, averaging a measly 2.81 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while ranking in the 18th percentile.
The New York Giants O-line has given their quarterback a measly 2.41 seconds before getting pressured (8th-worst in football since the start of last season), which has a harmful effect on all passing offense stats across the board.
The New York Giants have used motion in their offense on 26.6% of their plays since the start of last season (2nd-least in the league), which usually makes an offense more predictable and less effective.

Projection

THE BLITZ
60
Receiving Yards