Week 16 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Gerald Everett from EV Insight

Gerald EverettReceiving Yards

Right now, Gerald Everett’s receiving yards prop is set at 34.5 yards (-110/-110).

The public has bet the OVER up to 34.5 (-110) after it opened @ 30.5 (-110).

Pros

The Los Angeles Chargers will be forced to use backup QB Easton Stick in this contest, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.
An extreme passing game script is suggested by the Chargers being a massive -12.5-point underdog this week.
Our trusted projections expect the Chargers as the 3rd-most pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 62.4% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is expected by the predictive model to have 131.5 plays on offense called: the 4th-most among all games this week.
Calm weather conditions (like the 1-mph wind being projected in this game) usually cause increased passing effectiveness, higher touchdown potential, higher air volume, and reduced ground volume.

Cons

After averaging 31.0 air yards per game last year, Gerald Everett has regressed heavily this year, now boasting 18.0 per game.
Gerald Everett’s 29.0 adjusted yards per game through the air this season reflects a substantial decrease in his receiving ability over last season’s 37.0 rate.
Gerald Everett comes in as one of the least effective receivers in the league among tight ends, averaging just 6.70 adjusted yards-per-target this year while grading out in the 24th percentile.
The Bills linebackers rank as the 9th-best group of LBs in football this year in defending receivers.

Projection

THE BLITZ
37
Receiving Yards