Week 16 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Drake London from EV Insight

Drake LondonReceiving Yards

Right now, Drake London’s receiving yards prop is set at 56.5 yards (-110/-110).

The public has bet the OVER up to 56.5 (-110) after it opened @ 52.5 (-110).

Pros

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is projected by the model to see 138.7 plays on offense called: the most among all games this week.
The passing games of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still “weather” conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may drop-off.
The predictive model expects Drake London to accumulate 7.5 targets this week, on balance, placing him in the 83rd percentile when it comes to WRs.
When it comes to air yards, Drake London grades out in the towering 83rd percentile among wide receivers this year, totaling a staggering 77.0 per game.
With an impressive 59.0 adjusted yards per game on passes (81st percentile) this year, Drake London ranks among the top pass-catching wide receivers in football.

Cons

The leading projections forecast the Falcons as the 4th-least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 51.5% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
Opposing offenses teams have been reluctant to pass too much against the Indianapolis Colts, totaling the 6th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a mere 32.7 per game) this year.
Drake London has been a less important option in his offense’s air attack this season (23.6% Target Share in games he has played) than he was last season (29.1%).
The Colts defense has given up the 8th-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 139.0) versus WRs this year.
The Colts pass defense has been quite strong when opposing wide receivers have gotten into space, allowing an average of 3.28 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 4th-fewest in football.

Projection

THE BLITZ
62
Receiving Yards