Week 16 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Chigoziem Okonkwo from EV Insight

Chigoziem OkonkwoReceiving Yards

Right now, Chigoziem Okonkwo’s receiving yards prop is set at 33.5 yards (-110/-110).

The public has bet the OVER up to 33.5 (-110) after it opened @ 31.5 (-110).

Pros

This week’s spread indicates a passing game script for the Titans, who are -3-point underdogs.
In this contest, Chigoziem Okonkwo is predicted by the projections to find himself in the 79th percentile when it comes to tight ends with 4.8 targets.
Chigoziem Okonkwo has been a more important option in his team’s passing attack this year (15.9% Target Share in games he has played) than he was last year (10.8%).
After averaging 21.0 air yards per game last year, Chigoziem Okonkwo has undergone big improvement this year, now averaging 32.0 per game.
The Seattle Seahawks defense has been gouged for the 8th-most adjusted receiving yards per game in the NFL (54.0) versus TEs this year.

Cons

Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Tennessee Titans to pass on 56.1% of their opportunities: the 10th-lowest rate among all teams this week.
The predictive model expects the Titans to run the fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 61.8 plays, given their underlying traits and game dynamics.
The Tennessee Titans have called the 4th-fewest plays in football this year, totaling a lowly 54.9 plays per game.
The Tennessee offensive line grades out as the 7th-worst in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative effect on all passing attack metrics across the board.
Chigoziem Okonkwo’s 6.3 adjusted yards per target this season marks a meaningful reduction in his receiving skills over last season’s 9.0 mark.

Projection

THE BLITZ
33
Receiving Yards