Week 16 Player Props: Passing Yards for Trace McSorley from EV Insight

Trace McSorleyPassing Yards

Right now, Trace McSorley’s passing yards prop is set at 191.5 yards (-105/-125).

The public has bet the OVER up to 191.5 (-105) after it opened @ 189.5 (-115).

Pros

The Arizona Cardinals will be rolling with backup QB Trace McSorley in this game, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.
The Cardinals are a 6.5-point underdog in this week’s contest, which points towards a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Arizona Cardinals to be the 4th-most pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 63.9% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 138.6 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Arizona Cardinals have called the 3rd-most plays in football this year, averaging a colossal 62.6 plays per game.

Cons

Opposing quarterbacks have passed for the 4th-least yards in the league (just 210.0 per game) vs. the Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense this year.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers pass defense has exhibited good efficiency this year, yielding 6.90 yards-per-target: the 6th-least in football.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense has been quite strong when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, giving up an average of 4.73 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 8th-least in the league.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers cornerbacks rank as the 7th-best CB corps in the NFL this year in pass coverage.
The Arizona Cardinals offensive line has given their QB a mere 2.34 seconds before getting pressured (worst in football since the start of last season), which has a negative effect on all passing offense stats across the board.

Projection

THE BLITZ
265
Passing Yards