Prime-Time First TD Bets — Monday Night Football, Week 16
Alex Christenson
Jordan LovePassing Yards
Player Props – Week 16
Panthers vs. Packers
Right now, Jordan Love’s passing yards prop is set at 221.5 yards (+102/-139).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 221.5 (-139) after it opened @ 235.5 (-117).
Pros
- When it comes to protecting the passer (and the strong effect it has on all pass game stats), the O-line of the Green Bay Packers ranks as the 10th-best in football this year.
- As it relates to defensive tackles pass-rushing, Carolina’s collection of DTs has been lousy this year, projecting as the 3rd-worst in the NFL.
Cons
- With a 3.5-point advantage, the Packers are favored in this game, implying more of a reliance on rushing than their typical approach.
- The projections expect the Packers to run the 7th-fewest total plays among all teams this week with 63.1 plays, given their underlying traits and game dynamics.
- The 9th-smallest volume of plays in football have been called by the Packers this year (a mere 56.1 per game on average).
- Opposing quarterbacks teams have been hesitant to lean on the pass against the Panthers, averaging the fewest attempts in the NFL (a lowly 29.9 per game) this year.
- This year, the imposing Carolina Panthers defense has yielded a feeble 177.0 adjusted passing yards per game to opposing QBs: the 2nd-best in the league.
Projection
THE BLITZ
245
Passing Yards
245
Passing Yards
