Prime-Time First TD Bets — Monday Night Football, Week 16
Alex Christenson
Easton StickPassing Yards
Player Props – Week 16
Chargers vs. Bills
Right now, Easton Stick’s passing yards prop is set at 206.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the OVER up to 206.5 (-110) after it opened @ 199.5 (-110).
Pros
- The Los Angeles Chargers will be forced to use backup QB Easton Stick in this contest, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.
- An extreme passing game script is suggested by the Chargers being a massive -12.5-point underdog this week.
- Our trusted projections expect the Chargers as the 3rd-most pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 62.4% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
- Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is expected by the predictive model to have 131.5 plays on offense called: the 4th-most among all games this week.
- Opposing QBs have completed passes at the 2nd-highest rate in football vs. the Bills defense this year (74.2% Adjusted Completion%).
Cons
- Easton Stick comes in as one of the worst precision passers in football this year with a 59.6% Adjusted Completion%, checking in at the 24th percentile.
- This year, the strong Bills defense has conceded the 6th-least yards-after-the-catch in football to opposing teams: a measly 4.2 YAC.
- When it comes to cornerbacks in defending receivers, Buffalo’s unit has been outstanding this year, ranking as the 3rd-best in the league.
Projection
THE BLITZ
237
Passing Yards
237
Passing Yards
