Week 16 Player Props: Passing Yards for Dak Prescott from EV Insight

Dak PrescottPassing Yards

Right now, Dak Prescott’s passing yards prop is set at 270.5 yards (-110/-110).

The public has bet the OVER up to 270.5 (-110) after it opened @ 265.5 (-114).

Pros

The leading projections forecast the Dallas Cowboys as the 4th-most pass-focused offense among all teams this week with a 61.2% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
Accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Cowboys are projected by the projection model to run 65.6 plays on offense in this contest: the 9th-most among all teams this week.
The Dallas Cowboys have run the 4th-most plays in football this year, totaling a staggering 60.8 plays per game.
Dak Prescott’s 270.0 adjusted passing yards per game this year represents a remarkable progression in his throwing proficiency over last year’s 241.0 rate.
This year, the anemic Miami Dolphins defense has allowed a monstrous 72.9% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing teams: the 7th-highest rate in the league.

Cons

The Dolphins defense has performed very well when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, conceding an average of 3.93 yards-after-the-catch this year: the fewest in the NFL.
The Miami Dolphins safeties profile as the 2nd-best group of safeties in the league this year in defending receivers.

Projection

THE BLITZ
269
Passing Yards