Week 15 Player Props: Rushing Yards for Miles Sanders from EV Insight

Miles SandersRushing Yards

Right now, Miles Sanders’s rushing yards prop is set at 70.5 yards (-105/-125).

The public has bet the OVER up to 70.5 (-105) after it opened @ 69.5 (-115).

Pros

The Eagles are a massive 8.5-point favorite this week, likely leading to an extreme rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Philadelphia Eagles as the 3rd-most run-oriented team among all teams this week with a 52.0% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Philadelphia Eagles as the 7th-quickest paced defense in football (adjusted for context) right now, with opposing offenses averaging 27.58 seconds per play.
Miles Sanders has rushed for many more yards per game (81.0) this season than he did last season (57.0).
Opposing squads have rushed for the 5th-most yards in the league (147 per game) vs. the Chicago Bears defense this year.

Cons

The Philadelphia Eagles have been faced with a stacked the box on 18.9% of their plays since the start of last season, 7th-most in football. Bringing an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.
The Philadelphia Eagles have used motion in their offense on 28.1% of their play-calls since the start of last season (4th-least in football), which usually makes an offense more predictable and less effective.

Projection

THE BLITZ
74
Rushing Yards