Week 15 Player Props: Rushing Yards for Jerome Ford from EV Insight

Jerome FordRushing Yards

Right now, Jerome Ford’s rushing yards prop is set at 42.5 yards (-105/-125).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 42.5 (-125) after it opened @ 42.5 (-115).

Pros

The predictive model expects the Cleveland Browns as the 9th-most run-centric offense on the slate this week with a 44.5% run rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
Given their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Cleveland Browns are projected by the projection model to call 66.2 offensive plays in this game: the 6th-highest number on the slate this week.
The Cleveland Browns have run the most plays in the league this year, averaging a whopping 66.2 plays per game.
The weather report calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.
With a remarkable total of 49.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground (75th percentile), Jerome Ford ranks as one of the top pure runners in the NFL this year.

Cons

The opposing side have rushed for the 2nd-fewest adjusted yards in the NFL (just 85.0 per game) vs. the Bears defense this year.

Projection

THE BLITZ
54
Rushing Yards